# 2038, NSW vs 2040, NSW — 2021 Census comparison

Postcode comparison · about 1.3 km apart

Postcode 2040 and postcode 2038 are neighbouring areas in Greater Sydney with different housing and family profiles. Postcode 2040 has a larger share of separate houses at 40.9%, compared to 22.8% in postcode 2038. It also has more children under 15 (19.2% vs 16.0%) and a higher proportion of people who use another language at home (18.6% vs 13.8%). Public transport is more extensive in postcode 2040, which has 60 stops and 19 routes, while postcode 2038 has 17 stops and 11 routes.

The gap in the share of children under 15 has widened since 2011, but other differences are shrinking. The two areas are very similar in other ways, with the typical resident in both being 38 years old. They share nearly identical typical weekly household incomes, sitting around $2,700. Education levels are high in both places, and both areas have a much higher share of adults with a bachelor degree or higher than the national figure.

## Where they differ most

- Population: 13,316 larger in 2040, NSW
- Separate houses: 18.1 pts higher in 2040, NSW
- Under 15: 3.2 pts higher in 2040, NSW
- Unpaid child care: 4.4 pts higher in 2040, NSW
- Bachelor+: 6.8 pts higher in 2038, NSW

## Demographics & Identity

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Population | 9,487 | 22,803 | 13,316 larger in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Median age | 38 yrs | 38 yrs |  | gap narrowing |
| First Nations | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Aged 65+ | 13.6% | 13.0% | 0.6 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Under 15 | 16.0% | 19.2% | 3.2 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap widening |
| De facto | 18.6% | 17.5% | 1.1 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |

### Age structure

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Young adults (25–44) | 34.0% | 32.1% | +2.0 |
| Older adults (45–64) | 26.4% | 26.2% | +0.1 |
| Children (0–14) | 16.0% | 19.2% | -3.2 |
| Seniors (65+) | 13.6% | 13.0% | +0.6 |
| Youth (15–24) | 10.0% | 9.4% | +0.6 |

### Marital status

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Never married | 48.0% | 43.0% | +5.1 |
| Married | 38.8% | 41.7% | -2.9 |
| Divorced | 8.3% | 9.0% | -0.7 |
| Widowed | 2.5% | 3.7% | -1.1 |
| Separated | 2.4% | 2.6% | -0.2 |

### Age profile

Share of each region's population by age band and sex.

| Age band | 2038, NSW male | 2038, NSW female | 2040, NSW male | 2040, NSW female |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 0–4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| 5–9 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| 10–14 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| 15–19 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| 20–24 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% |
| 25–29 | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| 30–34 | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% |
| 35–39 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| 40–44 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| 45–49 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% |
| 50–54 | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% |
| 55–59 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 60–64 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% |
| 65–69 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% |
| 70–74 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| 75–79 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| 80–84 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 85+ | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% |

## Ancestry & Birthplace

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Born overseas | 26.0% | 28.3% | 2.3 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |

### Country of birth

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Australia | 69.0% | 67.8% | +1.2 |
| England | 5.1% | 5.3% | -0.2 |
| New Zealand | 2.6% | 2.5% | +0.1 |
| Italy | 0.8% | 2.2% | -1.4 |
| China | 0.9% | 1.2% | -0.3 |
| South Africa | 0.8% | 0.6% | +0.2 |
| Philippines | 0.6% | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| India | 0.7% | 0.6% | +0.1 |
| Vietnam | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Nepal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 |

### Ancestry

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| English | 35.5% | 33.4% | +2.2 |
| Australian | 30.7% | 28.1% | +2.6 |
| Irish | 14.9% | 15.0% | 0.0 |
| Scottish | 12.0% | 10.5% | +1.5 |
| Italian | 6.0% | 9.4% | -3.4 |
| Chinese | 5.5% | 5.6% | -0.1 |
| German | 4.0% | 3.7% | +0.3 |
| Greek | 2.8% | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| Indian | 1.5% | 1.6% | -0.1 |
| Dutch | 1.5% | 1.4% | +0.0 |
| Filipino | 1.0% | 1.3% | -0.3 |
| Vietnamese | 1.1% | 1.0% | +0.1 |

## Language

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Other language | 13.8% | 18.6% | 4.9 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Limited English | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.6 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |

### Language used at home

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| English only | 80.9% | 77.1% | +3.8 |
| Italian | 1.5% | 3.6% | -2.1 |
| Mandarin | 1.3% | 1.6% | -0.3 |
| Greek | 1.1% | 1.4% | -0.3 |
| Cantonese | 0.7% | 1.1% | -0.4 |
| Vietnamese | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Arabic | 0.4% | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Hindi | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Tagalog | 0.2% | 0.2% | +0.0 |
| Punjabi | 0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1 |

## Religion

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| No religion | 54.3% | 50.9% | 3.4 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |

### Religious affiliation

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| No religion | 54.3% | 50.9% | +3.4 |
| Christianity | 33.5% | 39.3% | -5.8 |
| Not stated | 7.7% | 5.5% | +2.2 |
| Buddhism | 1.7% | 1.9% | -0.2 |
| Islam | 0.8% | 0.7% | +0.1 |
| Judaism | 0.8% | 0.5% | +0.3 |
| Hinduism | 0.6% | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Other religions | 0.6% | 0.5% | +0.2 |

## Education & Qualifications

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Year 12 | 81.1% | 77.0% | 4.0 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Bachelor+ | 54.9% | 48.2% | 6.8 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Schools/1k kids | 2.64 | 1.37 | 1.27 more in 2038, NSW |  |
| Schools ≤3 km | 4 | 6 | 2 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| Students | 962 | 2,358 | 1,396 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| Avg size | 241 | 393 | 153 larger in 2040, NSW |  |
| ICSEA | 1,138 | 1,122 | 16 higher in 2038, NSW |  |

### Highest year of school

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Year 12 | 81.1% | 77.0% | +4.0 |
| Year 10 | 7.2% | 9.3% | -2.0 |
| Year 9 or below | 2.5% | 5.3% | -2.8 |
| Year 11 | 2.6% | 3.0% | -0.4 |

### Highest qualification level

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Bachelor degree | 42.7% | 40.0% | +2.6 |
| Postgraduate degree | 21.3% | 18.8% | +2.5 |
| Advanced diploma / diploma | 10.6% | 12.8% | -2.3 |
| Certificate III / IV | 8.4% | 11.1% | -2.7 |
| Graduate diploma / certificate | 4.7% | 5.3% | -0.6 |
| Certificate I / II | 0.8% | 1.0% | -0.2 |

### Field of qualification

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Management & commerce | 21.5% | 22.7% | -1.2 |
| Society & culture | 17.7% | 17.2% | +0.5 |
| Creative arts | 12.0% | 11.5% | +0.6 |
| Health | 9.9% | 8.5% | +1.4 |
| Engineering & related | 6.8% | 7.1% | -0.3 |
| Education | 5.6% | 6.6% | -1.0 |
| Architecture & building | 5.1% | 5.0% | +0.1 |
| Natural & physical sciences | 4.9% | 3.9% | +0.9 |
| Information technology | 2.8% | 3.5% | -0.7 |
| Food, hospitality & personal services | 1.9% | 2.8% | -0.9 |
| Agriculture & environment | 0.9% | 1.1% | -0.2 |

## Income

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Personal income | $1,442 | $1,368 | $74 higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Household income | $2,683 | $2,727 | $44 higher in 2040, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Family income | $3,905 | $3,617 | $288 higher in 2038, NSW | gap widening |
| High earners | 32.7% | 30.9% | 1.8 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| High-income homes | 44.6% | 44.6% |  | gap narrowing |

### Household income distribution

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $4,000 or more | 33.5% | 32.5% | +1.0 |
| $1,500–$2,999 | 24.4% | 23.4% | +1.1 |
| $650–$1,499 | 15.9% | 15.9% | +0.0 |
| $3,000–$3,999 | 11.1% | 12.1% | -1.0 |
| Under $650 | 10.6% | 11.4% | -0.8 |

### Personal income distribution

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Under $650 | 23.6% | 27.6% | -4.0 |
| $1,500–$2,999 | 26.6% | 27.3% | -0.6 |
| $650–$1,499 | 24.0% | 23.2% | +0.9 |
| $3,000 or more | 18.1% | 16.6% | +1.4 |

## Health & Disability

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Health condition | 25.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 pts higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Mental health | 9.8% | 9.3% | 0.4 pts higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Needs assistance | 3.6% | 4.4% | 0.8 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |

### Long-term health conditions reported

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Mental health | 9.8% | 9.3% | +0.4 |
| Other condition | 8.0% | 8.1% | -0.1 |
| Asthma | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.0 |
| Arthritis | 6.0% | 6.0% | +0.0 |
| Diabetes | 2.4% | 2.8% | -0.4 |
| Heart disease | 2.7% | 2.6% | +0.1 |
| Cancer | 2.6% | 2.4% | +0.3 |
| Lung condition | 0.9% | 1.1% | -0.3 |
| Dementia | 1.1% | 0.6% | +0.5 |
| Stroke | 0.6% | 0.6% | +0.0 |

### Number of long-term health conditions

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| None | 66.9% | 68.5% | -1.6 |
| One condition | 19.2% | 18.7% | +0.5 |
| Two conditions | 4.5% | 4.6% | -0.1 |
| Three or more | 1.9% | 1.7% | +0.1 |

## Community Participation

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Volunteering | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.6 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Unpaid carers | 10.6% | 10.2% | 0.3 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap steady |
| Unpaid child care | 24.5% | 28.9% | 4.4 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap widening |
| Defence service | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2 pts higher in 2040, NSW |  |
| Housework 15h+ | 19.0% | 20.8% | 1.9 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap widening |

## Family & Households

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Household size | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 larger in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| One-parent | 9.3% | 11.5% | 2.2 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Living alone | 31.5% | 26.8% | 4.7 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap widening |

### Family composition

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Couples with children | 59.0% | 61.7% | -2.7 |
| Couples without children | 30.5% | 25.6% | +4.9 |
| One-parent families | 9.3% | 11.5% | -2.2 |
| Other families | 1.3% | 1.2% | +0.1 |

### Household size

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 people | 33.2% | 32.9% | +0.3 |
| 1 person | 31.5% | 26.8% | +4.7 |
| 4 people | 15.2% | 18.0% | -2.8 |
| 3 people | 15.9% | 17.3% | -1.4 |
| 5 people | 3.4% | 4.2% | -0.8 |
| 6 or more | 0.7% | 0.8% | -0.1 |

## Housing & Dwellings

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rent | $570 | $580 | $10 higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Mortgage | $3,467 | $3,467 |  | gap narrowing |
| People / bedroom | 1.00 | 1.00 |  | gap steady |
| Renting | 41.8% | 38.9% | 2.8 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Owned outright | 25.7% | 25.3% | 0.4 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Separate houses | 22.8% | 40.9% | 18.1 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap narrowing |
| 3+ bedrooms | 48.1% | 51.1% | 3.0 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap narrowing |

### How homes are owned or rented

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rented | 41.8% | 38.9% | +2.8 |
| Owned with a mortgage | 30.7% | 34.1% | -3.4 |
| Owned outright | 25.7% | 25.3% | +0.4 |
| Other tenure | 1.1% | 0.8% | +0.3 |
| Not stated | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0 |

### Types of homes

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Townhouse / semi-detached | 47.2% | 30.1% | +17.1 |
| Separate house | 22.8% | 40.9% | -18.1 |
| Flat or apartment | 28.8% | 28.4% | +0.4 |
| Other dwelling | 1.2% | 0.5% | +0.8 |

### Bedrooms per home

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 bedrooms | 32.9% | 36.3% | -3.4 |
| 2 bedrooms | 32.2% | 36.2% | -4.0 |
| 1 bedroom | 15.2% | 10.7% | +4.5 |
| 4 bedrooms | 12.6% | 12.5% | +0.1 |
| Studio / none | 3.7% | 1.3% | +2.4 |
| 5 or more | 2.6% | 2.3% | +0.3 |

### Weekly rent distribution

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $750 or more | 30.0% | 24.2% | +5.8 |
| $550–$749 | 22.8% | 29.7% | -6.9 |
| $350–$549 | 25.6% | 25.4% | +0.2 |
| $200–$349 | 15.3% | 8.5% | +6.9 |
| Under $200 | 4.7% | 10.0% | -5.2 |

### Monthly mortgage distribution

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $3,000 or more | 57.2% | 58.8% | -1.6 |
| $1,800–$2,999 | 19.2% | 19.9% | -0.7 |
| $1,000–$1,799 | 9.5% | 9.5% | +0.0 |
| Under $1,000 | 8.8% | 7.5% | +1.2 |

## Transport & Vehicles

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| No car | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.1 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Work from home | 56.3% | 55.5% | 0.8 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap steady |
| PT commute | 2.9% | 2.9% |  | gap steady |
| PT stops | 17 | 60 | 43 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| Stops/1k | 1.79 | 2.63 | 0.84 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| Departures/1k | 1,753.1 | 2,409.9 | 656.8 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| PT routes | 11 | 19 | 8 more in 2040, NSW |  |
| Stop walk | 1 | 2 | 1 longer in 2040, NSW |  |
| Drive to city | 6 | 6 |  |  |

### How people get to work

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Worked at home | 56.3% | 55.5% | +0.8 |
| Car (driver) | 19.2% | 21.2% | -1.9 |
| Walked | 4.2% | 3.2% | +0.9 |
| Bus | 2.2% | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| Car (passenger) | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Bicycle | 1.0% | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| Train | 0.4% | 0.5% | -0.1 |

### Motor vehicles per home

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 vehicle | 53.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| 2 vehicles | 26.2% | 28.7% | -2.5 |
| No vehicle | 13.6% | 13.5% | +0.1 |
| 3 vehicles | 5.3% | 5.1% | +0.2 |
| 4 or more | 1.8% | 1.6% | +0.2 |

## Migration & Movement

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Recent movers | 44.3% | 43.9% | 0.4 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |
| Recent arrivals | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.5 pts higher in 2038, NSW | gap narrowing |

## Jobs & Industry

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Unemployment | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.2 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |
| Participation | 70.5% | 70.5% |  | gap narrowing |
| Full-time | 65.0% | 66.0% | 1.0 pts higher in 2040, NSW | gap steady |

### Industries people work in

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Professional & technical | 16.9% | 16.4% | +0.5 |
| Health care & social assistance | 13.7% | 12.2% | +1.5 |
| Education & training | 11.0% | 10.7% | +0.3 |
| Finance & insurance | 8.2% | 9.0% | -0.7 |
| Retail trade | 7.1% | 6.4% | +0.6 |
| Public administration & safety | 5.6% | 6.4% | -0.7 |
| Construction | 5.5% | 5.8% | -0.3 |
| Media & telecommunications | 5.1% | 5.6% | -0.5 |
| Accommodation & food | 4.1% | 4.5% | -0.4 |
| Arts & recreation | 3.4% | 2.8% | +0.6 |
| Manufacturing | 2.9% | 3.2% | -0.3 |
| Other services | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.0 |

### Occupations people work in

| Category | 2038, NSW % | 2040, NSW % | Gap (pts) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Professionals | 44.7% | 41.5% | +3.2 |
| Managers | 21.1% | 22.2% | -1.1 |
| Clerical & administrative | 10.8% | 10.8% | +0.0 |
| Community & personal service | 6.3% | 6.9% | -0.6 |
| Technicians & trades | 6.1% | 6.8% | -0.7 |
| Sales workers | 6.1% | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| Labourers | 2.2% | 2.7% | -0.5 |
| Machinery operators & drivers | 1.2% | 1.7% | -0.5 |

## Economy & Advantage

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| IRSAD decile | 10 | 10 |  |  |
| IRSD decile | 10 | 9 | 1 higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| IER decile | 7 | 7 |  |  |
| IEO decile | 10 | 10 |  |  |
| IRSAD score | 1,159 | 1,140 | 19 higher in 2038, NSW |  |

## Walkability

| Statistic | 2038, NSW | 2040, NSW | Gap | Trend |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Walk score | 9.2 | 8.8 | 0.4 higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Types ≤15 min | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 more in 2038, NSW |  |
| 15-min city | 100.0% | 100.0% |  |  |
| Walk to shops | 100.0% | 98.1% | 1.9 pts higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Walk to transit | 100.0% | 100.0% |  |  |
| Walk to school | 100.0% | 100.0% |  |  |
| Walk to a park | 100.0% | 100.0% |  |  |
| Walk to health | 100.0% | 97.7% | 2.3 pts higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Amenities/1k | 9.4 | 8.1 | 1.3 more in 2038, NSW |  |
| Intersections/km² | 418 | 308 | 110 higher in 2038, NSW |  |
| Mean slope | 6.5% | 5.6% | 0.9 pts higher in 2038, NSW |  |

Interactive comparison: https://censusatlas.au/compare/poa/POA2038/2038-nsw/vs/POA2040/2040-nsw